{"id":4241,"date":"2025-02-15T17:30:05","date_gmt":"2025-02-15T10:30:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/labantrithuc.com\/?p=4241"},"modified":"2025-02-15T18:01:06","modified_gmt":"2025-02-15T11:01:06","slug":"chien-luoc-golden-short-break-cach-bat-song-giam-vang-h1-hieu-qua","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/labantrithuc.com\/?p=4241","title":{"rendered":"Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c “Golden short break” \u2013 C\u00e1ch b\u1eaft s\u00f3ng gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0ng H1 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch chi ti\u1ebft bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng (XAU\/USD)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

(A) C\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Ng\u00e0y<\/th>Gi\u1edd (UTC)<\/th>S\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n<\/th>K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3<\/th>D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o<\/th>K\u1ef3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc<\/th>T\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
12\/02<\/strong><\/td>8:30 PM<\/td>Core CPI m\/m<\/td>0.4%<\/strong><\/td>0.3%<\/td>0.2%<\/td>\ud83d\udfe2 T\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>8:30 PM<\/td>CPI m\/m<\/td>0.5%<\/strong><\/td>0.3%<\/td>0.2%<\/td>\ud83d\udfe2 T\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>8:30 PM<\/td>CPI y\/y<\/td>3.0%<\/strong><\/td>2.9%<\/td>2.9%<\/td>\ud83d\udfe2 T\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td><\/tr>
13\/02<\/strong><\/td>10:30 PM<\/td>Crude Oil Inventories<\/td>4.1M<\/strong><\/td>2.4M<\/td>8.7M<\/td>\ud83d\udfe2 T\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td><\/tr>
14\/02<\/strong><\/td>8:30 PM<\/td>Core Retail Sales m\/m<\/td>-0.4%<\/strong><\/td>0.3%<\/td>0.7%<\/td>\ud83d\udd34 Ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>8:30 PM<\/td>Retail Sales m\/m<\/td>-0.9%<\/strong><\/td>-0.2%<\/td>0.7%<\/td>\ud83d\udd34 Ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

B. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n kinh t\u1ebf tu\u1ea7n t\u1edbi (17-21\/02)<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Ng\u00e0y<\/th>Gi\u1edd (UTC)<\/th>S\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n<\/th>D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o<\/th>K\u1ef3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc<\/th>T\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
18\/02<\/strong><\/td>8-6:00 AM<\/td>FOMC Member Waller Speaks<\/td>–<\/td>–<\/td>\ud83d\udfe1 Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng USD<\/td><\/tr>
18\/02<\/strong><\/td>8:30 PM<\/td>Empire State Manufacturing Index<\/td>-1.1<\/td>-12.6<\/td>\ud83d\udfe2 C\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n kinh t\u1ebf<\/td><\/tr>
20\/02<\/strong><\/td>2:00 AM<\/td>FOMC Meeting Minutes<\/td>–<\/td>–<\/td>\ud83d\udd34 N\u1ebfu hawkish, USD t\u0103ng<\/td><\/tr>
20\/02<\/strong><\/td>8:30 PM<\/td>Unemployment Claims<\/td>214K<\/td>213K<\/td>\ud83d\udfe1 T\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1eb9 USD<\/td><\/tr>
20\/02<\/strong><\/td>8:30 PM<\/td>Philly Fed Manufacturing Index<\/td>19.4<\/td>–<\/td>\ud83d\udfe2 H\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 USD n\u1ebfu t\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td><\/tr>
21\/02<\/strong><\/td>12:00 AM<\/td>Crude Oil Inventories<\/td>4.1M<\/td>–<\/td>\ud83d\udd34 N\u1ebfu t\u0103ng, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m<\/td><\/tr>
21\/02<\/strong><\/td>9:45 PM<\/td>Flash Manufacturing PMI<\/td>51.2<\/td>51.2<\/td>\ud83d\udfe1 Trung l\u1eadp<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>9:45 PM<\/td>Flash Services PMI<\/td>53.2<\/td>52.9<\/td>\ud83d\udfe2 T\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>10:00 PM<\/td>Existing Home Sales<\/td>4.13M<\/td>4.24M<\/td>\ud83d\udd34 Ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c n\u1ebfu gi\u1ea3m<\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>10:00 PM<\/td>Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment<\/td>67.8<\/td>67.8<\/td>\ud83d\udfe1 \u00cdt t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

(C) D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
    \n
  • USD<\/strong>: N\u1ebfu FOMC Minutes c\u00f3 gi\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec7u hawkish (\u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 duy tr\u00ec l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao), USD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • V\u00e0ng (XAU\/USD)<\/strong>: N\u1ebfu USD t\u0103ng, v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng 1850-1860.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • D\u1ea7u th\u00f4<\/strong>: N\u1ebfu t\u1ed3n kho d\u1ea7u ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m tra m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    1. T\u1ed5ng quan v\u1ec1 bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n
      \n
    • Khung th\u1eddi gian<\/strong>: H1 (1 gi\u1edd)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch<\/strong>: THV V.4 (H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng THV), EMA, RSI, PicoQQE, Fibonacci, MTF Cloud.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i<\/strong>: 2882.50<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y<\/strong>: Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng 2933.30 xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c 2882.50, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
      \n\n\n\n

      2. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n
      (a) \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng EMA<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n
        \n
      • EMA b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u b\u00e1n<\/strong>:\n
          \n
        • Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh khi gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 EMA quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • EMA g\u1ee3i \u00fd \u0111i\u1ec3m Go Short @ 2896.03<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • \u0110i\u1ec3m tho\u00e1t l\u1ec7nh long g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y: 2754.21<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
          (b) Fibonacci Retracement & Channel<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n
            \n
          • Fibonacci cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c quan tr\u1ecdng:\n
              \n
            • Gi\u00e1 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 m\u1ee9c 1.902 Fibonacci<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
            • Ti\u1ebfp theo c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 test m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 0.618 (~2860)<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
              (c) RSI & PicoQQE<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n
                \n
              • RSI \u0111ang trong v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n, nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u m\u1ea1nh.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
              • PicoQQE c\u0169ng cho th\u1ea5y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
                (d) Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o THV MTF Cloud<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n
                  \n
                • \u0110\u00e1m m\u00e2y ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o MTF c\u00f3 m\u00e0u \u0111\u1ecf, th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n v\u1eabn m\u1ea1nh<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
                  \n\n\n\n

                  3. Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch cho chu k\u1ef3 ti\u1ebfp theo<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n
                  (a) Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh: Gi\u1ea3m (Bearish)<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n
                    \n
                  • Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh sau khi ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                  • H\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ti\u1ebfp theo: 2860 – 2850<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                  • Kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng: 2896 – 2905<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
                    (b) Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch:<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n
                      \n
                    1. B\u00e1n kh\u1ed1ng (Short-sell)<\/strong>\n
                        \n
                      • \u0110i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o l\u1ec7nh<\/strong>: 2885 – 2896 (n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 pullback l\u00ean).<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                      • M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau<\/strong>: 2860 – 2850.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                      • D\u1eebng l\u1ed7<\/strong>: Tr\u00ean 2905.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                      • Ch\u1edd x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u<\/strong>\n
                          \n
                        • N\u1ebfu RSI b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 m\u1ee9c 2905<\/strong>, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 xem x\u00e9t l\u1ec7nh mua.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n
                          (c) R\u1ee7i ro c\u1ea7n l\u01b0u \u00fd<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n
                            \n
                          • Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh nh\u01b0ng RSI \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn v\u00e0o v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n, c\u1ea7n theo d\u00f5i d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                          • Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c tin t\u1ee9c kinh t\u1ebf quan tr\u1ecdng.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n
                            \n\n\n\n

                            K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
                              \n
                            • Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, \u01b0u ti\u00ean chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e1n kh\u1ed1ng v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0o quanh 2885 – 2896<\/strong> v\u00e0 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau 2860 – 2850<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                            • N\u1ebfu c\u00f3 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u1eeb RSI ho\u1eb7c PicoQQE, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 xem x\u00e9t l\u1ec7nh mua khi gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t 2905<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                            • Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1eb7t d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 tr\u00ean 2905<\/strong> \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh b\u1eaby gi\u1ea3m gi\u1ea3.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

                              L\u01b0u \u00fd<\/strong>: C\u1ea7n c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt th\u00eam d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p! \ud83d\ude80<\/p>\n\n\n\n

                              D. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng trong tu\u1ea7n t\u1edbi<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

                              D\u1ef1a tr\u00ean d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, t\u00f4i \u0111\u01b0a ra hai k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n ch\u00ednh<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

                              \ud83d\udd34 K\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n 1: V\u00e0ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m n\u1ebfu USD m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean (Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng: 60%)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
                                \n
                              • N\u1ebfu bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n FOMC Minutes “hawkish”<\/strong>, USD t\u0103ng, l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu t\u0103ng \u2192 v\u00e0ng s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                              • M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u1ea3m<\/strong>:\n
                                  \n
                                • H\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t<\/strong>: 2860.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                                • N\u1ebfu ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 2860<\/strong>, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m s\u00e2u v\u1ec1 2850 – 2835<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                                • Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch<\/strong>:\n
                                    \n
                                  • B\u00e1n khi gi\u00e1 h\u1ed3i l\u00ean v\u00f9ng 2885 – 2895<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                                  • Ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi \u1edf 2860 – 2850<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                                  • D\u1eebng l\u1ed7 tr\u00ean 2905<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

                                    \ud83d\udfe2 K\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n 2: V\u00e0ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i n\u1ebfu USD suy y\u1ebfu (Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng: 40%)<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
                                      \n
                                    • N\u1ebfu d\u1eef li\u1ec7u kinh t\u1ebf y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 FOMC c\u00f3 gi\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec7u m\u1ec1m m\u1ecfng (dovish) \u2192 USD y\u1ebfu, v\u00e0ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                                    • M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng<\/strong>:\n
                                        \n
                                      • Kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t<\/strong>: 2896 – 2905.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                                      • N\u1ebfu ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 2905<\/strong>, gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 2920 – 2930<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                                      • Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch<\/strong>:\n
                                          \n
                                        • Mua n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 gi\u1eef v\u1eefng tr\u00ean 2860 – 2850<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                                        • Ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi t\u1ea1i 2905 – 2915<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
                                        • D\u1eebng l\u1ed7 d\u01b0\u1edbi 2845<\/strong>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

                                          Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch chi ti\u1ebft bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng (XAU\/USD) (A) C\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 Ng\u00e0y Gi\u1edd (UTC) S\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o K\u1ef3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc T\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng 12\/02 8:30 PM Core CPI m\/m 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% \ud83d\udfe2 T\u00edch c\u1ef1c 8:30 PM CPI m\/m 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% \ud83d\udfe2 T\u00edch c\u1ef1c 8:30 PM…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4242,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_kadence_starter_templates_imported_post":false,"_kad_post_transparent":"","_kad_post_title":"","_kad_post_layout":"","_kad_post_sidebar_id":"","_kad_post_content_style":"","_kad_post_vertical_padding":"","_kad_post_feature":"","_kad_post_feature_position":"","_kad_post_header":false,"_kad_post_footer":false,"_kad_post_classname":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4241","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/labantrithuc.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4241","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/labantrithuc.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/labantrithuc.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/labantrithuc.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/labantrithuc.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4241"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/labantrithuc.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4241\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4245,"href":"https:\/\/labantrithuc.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4241\/revisions\/4245"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/labantrithuc.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/4242"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/labantrithuc.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4241"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/labantrithuc.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4241"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/labantrithuc.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4241"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}